So I was hoping that the First Super Tuesday would be able to tell us who was going to represent the Democrats in the Presidential election. Well one month later we sill have no idea who is going to lead them. Yes I guess we do have an idea, Hilary or Barack, but there is not clear winner. Well we know who two people who are running are: Nader and McCain.
Hilary does not have a complete chance at winning the nomination because she will not be able to win all of the delegates needed to pull ahead of Barack's pledged delegates. This will mean that she will have to win over more super delegates, which she could. She could also gain momentum, being able to win so many of the large, powerful and 'important' states. She is also married to the Comeback Kid from the 1992 primary season, that is a positive point. She is also only 140 in pledged delegates behind Barack, only 100 total. That is less than 3% of the total votes that could be casted at the convention.
Barack has a much better chance at winning the nomination but he could slip and start to show weaknesses which could spell the end of his campaign. If what he said to the Canadian authorities did actually happen than he is no better than any other politician. It could end the honeymoon that he has had with the media, nobody really has taken shots at him. If that starts to happen and he is not able respond well or hold his own, he could loose his lead. There has been some talk about how he has not been a seasoned politician, I hope that does not affect him negatively.
Why are there two 'great' people running for this year to be president for the democrats while 4 years ago there was not really anyone who was good. I know that it was because they were going against a 'great' president. (some people think they are great, but I will let you decide). This has been a less interesting one that the ones of the 1960s and 1970s.
Hilary does not have a complete chance at winning the nomination because she will not be able to win all of the delegates needed to pull ahead of Barack's pledged delegates. This will mean that she will have to win over more super delegates, which she could. She could also gain momentum, being able to win so many of the large, powerful and 'important' states. She is also married to the Comeback Kid from the 1992 primary season, that is a positive point. She is also only 140 in pledged delegates behind Barack, only 100 total. That is less than 3% of the total votes that could be casted at the convention.
Barack has a much better chance at winning the nomination but he could slip and start to show weaknesses which could spell the end of his campaign. If what he said to the Canadian authorities did actually happen than he is no better than any other politician. It could end the honeymoon that he has had with the media, nobody really has taken shots at him. If that starts to happen and he is not able respond well or hold his own, he could loose his lead. There has been some talk about how he has not been a seasoned politician, I hope that does not affect him negatively.
Why are there two 'great' people running for this year to be president for the democrats while 4 years ago there was not really anyone who was good. I know that it was because they were going against a 'great' president. (some people think they are great, but I will let you decide). This has been a less interesting one that the ones of the 1960s and 1970s.
No comments:
Post a Comment